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Switzerland vs Slovenia prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Switzerland host Slovenia in the UEFA Nations League (International) on 3 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Switzerland Win — Switzerland to win. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Switzerland 2–1 Slovenia.
Going into the match, Switzerland had won 6, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 6. Slovenia had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 4, with 4 scored and 3 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Switzerland's last 10 and 2 of Slovenia's last 4; 5 and 1 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Switzerland averaged 2.17 goals scored and 0.67 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Slovenia averaged 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded across 1.
The 1X2 prices imply about 72% for Switzerland, 19% for the draw and 9% for Slovenia once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Switzerland (green) and Slovenia (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Switzerland | WWDDW | 2.10 | 0.60 | 60% | 50% |
| Slovenia | WDLD | 1.00 | 0.75 | 50% | 25% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Switzerland Win | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS No | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.