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National Division · Luxembourg
Swift Hesperange vs Victoria Rosport prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Swift Hesperange host Victoria Rosport in the National Division (Luxembourg) on 11 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Swift Hesperange 0–3 Victoria Rosport.
Going into the match, Swift Hesperange had won 0, drawn 1 and lost 9 of their last 10 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 33. Victoria Rosport had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 22 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Swift Hesperange's last 10 and 6 of Victoria Rosport's last 10; 6 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Swift Hesperange averaged 0.67 goals scored and 2.89 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Victoria Rosport averaged 1.23 scored and 2.62 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.80 goals from Swift Hesperange and 2.33 from Victoria Rosport. From that it rates a home win at 10%, a draw at 19% and an away win at 71%, against 15%, 18% and 67% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 61%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Swift Hesperange (green) and Victoria Rosport (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swift Hesperange | DLLLL | 0.30 | 3.30 | 20% | 60% |
| Victoria Rosport | WDLLD | 1.50 | 2.20 | 60% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 17 May 2026 · Swift Hesperange 3–0 Victoria Rosport
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Victoria Rosport Win | 66% | 1.36 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.60 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.70 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
| Victoria Rosport HT & FT | 48% | 1.95 |
| 0-3 | 10% | 9.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.