Home › League stats › Championship › Swansea vs Norwich
Championship · England
Swansea vs Norwich prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Swansea host Norwich in the Championship (England) on 10 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Swansea 2–1 Norwich.
Going into the match, Swansea had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 7. Norwich had won 4, drawn 0 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 23 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Swansea's last 10 and 7 of Norwich's last 10; 5 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Swansea averaged 1.27 goals scored and 0.82 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Norwich averaged 1.64 scored and 1.73 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.43 goals from Swansea and 0.97 from Norwich. From that it rates a home win at 47%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 24%, against 42%, 27% and 31% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 78%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Swansea (green) and Norwich (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 25 Apr 2026 · Norwich 1–1 Swansea
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.