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Regionalliga - West · Germany
SV Rodinghausen vs Sportfreunde Lotte prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
SV Rodinghausen host Sportfreunde Lotte in the Regionalliga - West (Germany) on 3 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — SV Rodinghausen to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: SV Rodinghausen 2–1 Sportfreunde Lotte.
Going into the match, SV Rodinghausen had won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 19. Sportfreunde Lotte had won 0, drawn 3 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 6 scored and 20 conceded.
Both teams scored in 9 of SV Rodinghausen's last 10 and 3 of Sportfreunde Lotte's last 10; 7 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home SV Rodinghausen averaged 1.50 goals scored and 1.63 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Sportfreunde Lotte averaged 1.18 scored and 2.18 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.74 goals from SV Rodinghausen and 1.04 from Sportfreunde Lotte. From that it rates a home win at 53%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 22%, against 47%, 26% and 28% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 78%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between SV Rodinghausen (green) and Sportfreunde Lotte (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SV Rodinghausen | LDLLL | 1.30 | 1.90 | 90% | 70% |
| Sportfreunde Lotte | LLLLL | 0.60 | 2.00 | 30% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.21 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 74% | 1.23 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 63% | 1.49 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.51 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 60% | 1.55 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.61 |
| SV Rodinghausen Win | 47% | 1.96 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 42% | 2.22 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.