SV Meppen vs Havelse prediction and preview

18 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Over 2.5 GoalsOdds 1.44Market probability 66%Final score 1–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

SV Meppen host Havelse in the 3. Liga (Germany) on 18 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: SV Meppen 1–1 Havelse.

Going into the match, SV Meppen had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 16. Havelse had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 26 conceded.

Both teams scored in 4 of SV Meppen's last 10 and 8 of Havelse's last 10; 6 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home SV Meppen averaged 2.67 goals scored and 2.00 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Havelse averaged 1.07 scored and 2.50 conceded across 14.

Our team-strength model expects about 2.57 goals from SV Meppen and 1.14 from Havelse. From that it rates a home win at 68%, a draw at 18% and an away win at 14%, against 54%, 24% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 72%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between SV Meppen (green) and Havelse (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form67% – 33%

Attack45% – 55%

Defence67% – 33%

Head-to-head40% – 60%

Goals52% – 48%

Overall strength57% – 43%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
SV Meppen	WDLLL	1.90	1.60	40%	60%
Havelse	DLLLL	1.30	2.60	80%	90%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance 1X	77%	1.20
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	76%	1.22
BTTS 1st Half - No	72%	1.30
Over 2.5 Goals	66%	1.44
BTTS Yes	64%	1.44
SV Meppen Win	55%	1.65
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	54%	1.73
Under 3.5 Goals	53%	1.73

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.