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2. Liga · Austria
SV Kapfenberg vs SKN ST. Polten prediction and preview
23 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
SV Kapfenberg host SKN ST. Polten in the 2. Liga (Austria) on 23 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, SV Kapfenberg had won 2, drawn 0 and lost 8 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 20. SKN ST. Polten had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 7 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of SV Kapfenberg's last 10 and 3 of SKN ST. Polten's last 10; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home SV Kapfenberg averaged 1.00 goals scored and 2.22 conceded across 9 matches; away from home SKN ST. Polten averaged 1.22 scored and 1.22 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.00 goals from SV Kapfenberg and 1.13 from SKN ST. Polten. From that it rates a home win at 30%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 37%, against 19%, 22% and 59% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 36%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between SV Kapfenberg (green) and SKN ST. Polten (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SV Kapfenberg | WLLLL | 1.10 | 2.00 | 40% | 50% |
| SKN ST. Polten | DLWWL | 0.70 | 1.20 | 30% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 8 May 2026 · SV Kapfenberg 0–3 SKN ST. Polten
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 79% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| SKN ST. Polten Win | 59% | 1.55 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.62 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 59% | 1.62 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other 2. Liga matches that day
- Austria Salzburg vs FC BW Linz · 23 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC · 2. Liga
Published pick: Double Chance X2 - SKU Amstetten vs Rapid Wien II · 23 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC · 2. Liga
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Austria Vienna (Am) vs Sturm Graz II · 23 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC · 2. Liga
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals - First Vienna vs Floridsdorfer AC · 23 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC · 2. Liga
Published pick: First Vienna Win @ 1.67 - WSPG Wels vs Voitsberg · 23 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC · 2. Liga
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50