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Bundesliga · Germany
SV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05 prediction and preview
30 Oct 2026, 19:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
SV Elversberg host FSV Mainz 05 in the Bundesliga (Germany) on 30 Oct 2026, 19:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, SV Elversberg had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 20. FSV Mainz 05 had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 28 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of SV Elversberg's last 10 and 4 of FSV Mainz 05's last 10; 7 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home SV Elversberg averaged 2.88 goals scored and 1.38 conceded across 8 matches; away from home FSV Mainz 05 averaged 3.92 scored and 1.08 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.90 goals from SV Elversberg and 2.08 from FSV Mainz 05. From that it rates a home win at 35%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 42%, against 31%, 25% and 44% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 75%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between SV Elversberg (green) and FSV Mainz 05 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SV Elversberg | LLWLL | 1.60 | 2.00 | 60% | 70% |
| FSV Mainz 05 | LLWLW | 2.80 | 1.50 | 40% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 74% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 72% | 1.30 |
| BTTS Yes | 65% | 1.44 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 64% | 1.50 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 56% | 1.73 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| FSV Mainz 05 Win | 44% | 2.15 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.