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2. Bundesliga · Germany
SV Darmstadt 98 vs FC St. Pauli prediction and preview
23 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
SV Darmstadt 98 host FC St. Pauli in the 2. Bundesliga (Germany) on 23 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, SV Darmstadt 98 had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 19. FC St. Pauli had won 2, drawn 6 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of SV Darmstadt 98's last 10 and 7 of FC St. Pauli's last 10; 8 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home SV Darmstadt 98 averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.44 conceded across 9 matches; away from home FC St. Pauli averaged 1.91 scored and 1.82 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.93 goals from SV Darmstadt 98 and 1.43 from FC St. Pauli. From that it rates a home win at 49%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 28%, against 31%, 25% and 44% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 57%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between SV Darmstadt 98 (green) and FC St. Pauli (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SV Darmstadt 98 | LWWLW | 1.70 | 1.90 | 50% | 80% |
| FC St. Pauli | DWDDW | 1.20 | 1.20 | 70% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 65% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.70 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other 2. Bundesliga matches that day
- VfL Bochum vs VfL Wolfsburg · 23 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC · 2. Bundesliga
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.40