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K League 2 · South Korea
Suwon City FC vs Hwaseong prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Suwon City FC host Hwaseong in the K League 2 (South Korea) on 9 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Suwon City FC 1–0 Hwaseong.
Going into the match, Suwon City FC had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 10. Hwaseong had won 4, drawn 5 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Suwon City FC's last 10 and 6 of Hwaseong's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Suwon City FC averaged 2.10 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Hwaseong averaged 1.67 scored and 1.00 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.79 goals from Suwon City FC and 1.26 from Hwaseong. From that it rates a home win at 49%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 26%, against 45%, 26% and 29% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Suwon City FC (green) and Hwaseong (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suwon City FC | WDDWW | 1.70 | 1.00 | 70% | 60% |
| Hwaseong | DWDWL | 1.70 | 1.00 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 9 May 2026 · Hwaseong 1–1 Suwon City FC
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.