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K League 2 · South Korea
Suwon Bluewings vs Hwaseong prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Suwon Bluewings host Hwaseong in the K League 2 (South Korea) on 18 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Suwon Bluewings 3–2 Hwaseong.
Going into the match, Suwon Bluewings had won 7, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 7. Hwaseong had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Suwon Bluewings's last 10 and 5 of Hwaseong's last 10; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Suwon Bluewings averaged 1.60 goals scored and 0.80 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Hwaseong averaged 1.50 scored and 1.00 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.73 goals from Suwon Bluewings and 1.22 from Hwaseong. From that it rates a home win at 48%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 26%, against 54%, 25% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Suwon Bluewings (green) and Hwaseong (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suwon Bluewings | WWWWW | 2.10 | 0.70 | 50% | 50% |
| Hwaseong | LDWDW | 1.40 | 0.90 | 50% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 6 Jun 2026 · Hwaseong 1–2 Suwon Bluewings
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 79% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Suwon Bluewings Win | 56% | 1.65 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other K League 2 matches that day
- Busan I Park vs Jeonnam Dragons · 18 Oct 2026, 07:30 UTC · K League 2
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.73 - Seoul E-Land FC vs Gimhae City · 18 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · K League 2
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 6–2