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National League · England
Sutton Utd vs Boreham Wood prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Sutton Utd host Boreham Wood in the National League (England) on 9 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Sutton Utd 0–2 Boreham Wood.
Going into the match, Sutton Utd had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 16. Boreham Wood had won 8, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 10, with 24 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Sutton Utd's last 10 and 9 of Boreham Wood's last 10; 3 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sutton Utd averaged 1.36 goals scored and 1.29 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Boreham Wood averaged 2.90 scored and 0.90 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.97 goals from Sutton Utd and 1.92 from Boreham Wood. From that it rates a home win at 18%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 59%, against 22%, 24% and 54% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 67%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Sutton Utd (green) and Boreham Wood (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sutton Utd | DLDDW | 0.90 | 1.60 | 50% | 30% |
| Boreham Wood | WWWDW | 2.40 | 1.00 | 90% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 25 Apr 2026 · Boreham Wood 1–0 Sutton Utd
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 78% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.