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First League · Montenegro
Sutjeska vs Bokelj prediction and preview
19 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Sutjeska host Bokelj in the First League (Montenegro) on 19 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Sutjeska 4–0 Bokelj.
Going into the match, Sutjeska had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 6. Bokelj had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 6 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Sutjeska's last 10 and 3 of Bokelj's last 10; 2 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sutjeska averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.23 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Bokelj averaged 0.70 scored and 0.70 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.02 goals from Sutjeska and 0.64 from Bokelj. From that it rates a home win at 42%, a draw at 36% and an away win at 22%, against 51%, 28% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 77%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Sutjeska (green) and Bokelj (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 9 Aug 2026 · Bokelj 1–0 Sutjeska
- 2 May 2026 · Bokelj 2–3 Sutjeska
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.53 |
| BTTS No | 57% | 1.59 |
| Under 8.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| Sutjeska Win | 54% | 1.75 |
| Sutjeska HT & FT | 34% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other First League matches that day
- Petrovac vs Otrant-Olympic · 19 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · First League
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.53 · FT 2–3