Surkhon vs Nasaf prediction and preview

31 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Stadion Surkhon, Termez

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance X2Odds 1.22Market probability 78%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Surkhon host Nasaf in the Super League (Uzbekistan) on 31 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Nasaf to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 78% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Surkhon had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 6. Nasaf had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 9 conceded.

Both teams scored in 2 of Surkhon's last 10 and 5 of Nasaf's last 10; 2 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Surkhon averaged 0.60 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Nasaf averaged 1.18 scored and 1.00 conceded across 11.

Our team-strength model expects about 0.40 goals from Surkhon and 0.78 from Nasaf. From that it rates a home win at 17%, a draw at 43% and an away win at 41%, against 24%, 26% and 50% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 84%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Surkhon (green) and Nasaf (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form32% – 68%

Attack15% – 85%

Defence60% – 40%

Head-to-head29% – 71%

Goals38% – 63%

Overall strength34% – 66%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Surkhon	DDDWL	0.40	0.60	20%	20%
Nasaf	LWDLW	1.80	0.90	50%	60%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance X2	77%	1.22
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	68%	1.37
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	66%	1.40
Under 2.5 Goals	53%	1.80
Nasaf Win	51%	1.80
BTTS Yes	51%	1.81
Over 2.5 Goals	47%	2.00
2nd Half Higher Goals	46%	2.02

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.