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Canadian Premier League · Canada
Supra du Quebec vs Pacific FC prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Supra du Quebec host Pacific FC in the Canadian Premier League (Canada) on 4 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Supra du Quebec 5–0 Pacific FC.
Going into the match, Supra du Quebec had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 19. Pacific FC had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Supra du Quebec's last 10 and 7 of Pacific FC's last 10; 4 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Supra du Quebec averaged 1.29 goals scored and 1.43 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Pacific FC averaged 1.45 scored and 2.27 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.63 goals from Supra du Quebec and 1.10 from Pacific FC. From that it rates a home win at 69%, a draw at 18% and an away win at 13%, against 54%, 24% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 72%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Supra du Quebec (green) and Pacific FC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Supra du Quebec | LWLLL | 1.00 | 1.90 | 50% | 40% |
| Pacific FC | WDLDD | 1.50 | 1.70 | 70% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 1 Aug 2026 · Pacific FC 1–2 Supra du Quebec
- 7 Jun 2026 · Supra du Quebec 1–1 Pacific FC
- 12 Apr 2026 · Pacific FC 2–3 Supra du Quebec
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Supra du Quebec Win | 54% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.