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Serie B · Italy
Sudtirol vs Ascoli prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Sudtirol host Ascoli in the Serie B (Italy) on 10 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.75, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Sudtirol 0–0 Ascoli.
Going into the match, Sudtirol had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 9. Ascoli had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Sudtirol's last 10 and 6 of Ascoli's last 10; 3 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sudtirol averaged 0.90 goals scored and 0.90 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Ascoli averaged 0.89 scored and 1.22 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.88 goals from Sudtirol and 0.84 from Ascoli. From that it rates a home win at 33%, a draw at 37% and an away win at 31%, against 39%, 29% and 31% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 34%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Sudtirol (green) and Ascoli (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Double Chance 12 | 70% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.75 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.