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Liga Nacional · Guatemala
Suchitepéquez vs Mixco prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Suchitepéquez host Mixco in the Liga Nacional (Guatemala) on 10 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Mixco to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.67, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Suchitepéquez 3–3 Mixco.
Going into the match, Suchitepéquez had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 24. Mixco had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Suchitepéquez's last 10 and 7 of Mixco's last 10; 8 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Suchitepéquez averaged 1.40 goals scored and 1.40 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Mixco averaged 0.45 scored and 2.64 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.72 goals from Suchitepéquez and 1.66 from Mixco. From that it rates a home win at 39%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 36%, against 44%, 27% and 29% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 61%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Suchitepéquez (green) and Mixco (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suchitepéquez | LLDLD | 1.10 | 2.40 | 60% | 80% |
| Mixco | WLWLD | 2.00 | 1.70 | 70% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 2 Aug 2026 · Mixco 2–0 Suchitepéquez
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.37 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.69 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 49% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.30 |
| Suchitepéquez HT & FT | 28% | 3.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.