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DFB Pokal - Women · Germany
Stuttgart W vs SGS Essen W prediction and preview
30 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Stuttgart W host SGS Essen W in the DFB Pokal - Women (Germany) on 30 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Stuttgart W 3–0 SGS Essen W.
Going into the match, Stuttgart W had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 24. SGS Essen W had won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 32 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Stuttgart W's last 10 and 7 of SGS Essen W's last 10; 8 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Stuttgart W averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.83 conceded across 6 matches; away from home SGS Essen W averaged 2.43 scored and 1.14 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.70 goals from Stuttgart W and 4.65 from SGS Essen W. From that it rates a home win at 2%, a draw at 4% and an away win at 94%, against 49%, 22% and 30% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 90%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Stuttgart W (green) and SGS Essen W (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stuttgart W | LLLDD | 1.20 | 2.40 | 60% | 80% |
| SGS Essen W | WWWLD | 3.20 | 0.80 | 70% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 71% | 1.33 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 71% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 66% | 1.37 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 54% | 1.69 |
| Stuttgart W Win | 49% | 1.83 |
| Stuttgart W HT & FT | 31% | 3.00 |
| 2-1 | 10% | 9.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.