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Friendlies Clubs · International
Sturm Graz vs Floridsdorfer AC prediction and preview
2 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Sturm Graz host Floridsdorfer AC in the Friendlies Clubs (International) on 2 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Sturm Graz 3–1 Floridsdorfer AC.
Going into the match, Sturm Graz had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 12. Floridsdorfer AC had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Sturm Graz's last 10 and 4 of Floridsdorfer AC's last 10; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sturm Graz averaged 1.94 goals scored and 0.94 conceded across 16 matches; away from home Floridsdorfer AC averaged 1.50 scored and 1.75 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.13 goals from Sturm Graz and 0.86 from Floridsdorfer AC. From that it rates a home win at 66%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 13%, against 65%, 18% and 16% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 58%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Sturm Graz (green) and Floridsdorfer AC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sturm Graz | LDWWL | 1.10 | 1.20 | 40% | 40% |
| Floridsdorfer AC | WLDWW | 1.50 | 1.30 | 40% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.26 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Sturm Graz Win | 65% | 1.38 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.58 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 52% | 1.78 |
| Sturm Graz HT & FT | 48% | 1.95 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.