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2. Liga · Austria
Sturm Graz II vs SV Kapfenberg prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 08:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Sturm Graz II host SV Kapfenberg in the 2. Liga (Austria) on 18 Oct 2026, 08:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Sturm Graz II 0–2 SV Kapfenberg.
Going into the match, Sturm Graz II had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 27. SV Kapfenberg had won 1, drawn 0 and lost 9 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 24 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Sturm Graz II's last 10 and 4 of SV Kapfenberg's last 10; 9 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sturm Graz II averaged 1.70 goals scored and 2.00 conceded across 10 matches; away from home SV Kapfenberg averaged 1.54 scored and 2.00 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.74 goals from Sturm Graz II and 1.67 from SV Kapfenberg. From that it rates a home win at 39%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 36%, against 52%, 23% and 25% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Sturm Graz II (green) and SV Kapfenberg (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sturm Graz II | LDDWL | 1.70 | 2.70 | 70% | 90% |
| SV Kapfenberg | LLLLL | 0.90 | 2.40 | 40% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 1X | 74% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 72% | 1.30 |
| BTTS Yes | 65% | 1.44 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.