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Third League - Southwest · Bulgaria
Strumska Slava vs Septemvri Simitli prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Strumska Slava host Septemvri Simitli in the Third League - Southwest (Bulgaria) on 3 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.
Going into the match, Strumska Slava had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 12. Septemvri Simitli had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Strumska Slava's last 10 and 6 of Septemvri Simitli's last 10; 8 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Strumska Slava averaged 2.11 goals scored and 0.56 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Septemvri Simitli averaged 1.44 scored and 1.11 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.23 goals from Strumska Slava and 1.25 from Septemvri Simitli. From that it rates a home win at 59%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 20%. For the published pick itself the model gives 87%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Strumska Slava (green) and Septemvri Simitli (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strumska Slava | WLWLW | 2.00 | 1.20 | 50% | 80% |
| Septemvri Simitli | LLLDD | 1.50 | 1.70 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 16 Apr 2026 · Septemvri Simitli 3–2 Strumska Slava