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1. Division · Norway
Stromsgodset vs Kongsvinger prediction and preview
14 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Stromsgodset host Kongsvinger in the 1. Division (Norway) on 14 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Stromsgodset to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Stromsgodset 5–1 Kongsvinger.
Going into the match, Stromsgodset had won 9, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, scoring 32 and conceding 8. Kongsvinger had won 8, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 10, with 48 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Stromsgodset's last 10 and 8 of Kongsvinger's last 10; 7 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Stromsgodset averaged 2.64 goals scored and 1.09 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Kongsvinger averaged 3.00 scored and 1.29 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.92 goals from Stromsgodset and 1.64 from Kongsvinger. From that it rates a home win at 63%, a draw at 17% and an away win at 19%, against 52%, 22% and 27% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 81%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Stromsgodset (green) and Kongsvinger (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stromsgodset | WWWWW | 3.20 | 0.80 | 70% | 70% |
| Kongsvinger | WWWWD | 4.80 | 1.50 | 80% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 21 Jun 2026 · Kongsvinger 4–4 Stromsgodset
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 79% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| Over 11.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Stromsgodset Win | 51% | 1.80 |
| Stromsgodset HT & FT | 35% | 2.75 |
| 2-1 | 10% | 10.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.