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Second League - Group 3 · Russia
Strogino vs Salyut-Belgorod prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Strogino host Salyut-Belgorod in the Second League - Group 3 (Russia) on 11 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Salyut-Belgorod Win — Salyut-Belgorod to win. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 58% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Strogino 1–6 Salyut-Belgorod.
Going into the match, Strogino had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 16. Salyut-Belgorod had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Strogino's last 10 and 5 of Salyut-Belgorod's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Strogino averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.85 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Salyut-Belgorod averaged 1.50 scored and 1.00 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.04 goals from Strogino and 2.29 from Salyut-Belgorod. From that it rates a home win at 15%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 65%, against 20%, 21% and 58% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 65%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Strogino (green) and Salyut-Belgorod (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strogino | LLLWW | 1.00 | 1.60 | 40% | 50% |
| Salyut-Belgorod | WWDWL | 1.90 | 0.90 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 20 Jun 2026 · Salyut-Belgorod 1–0 Strogino
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 76% | 1.21 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.31 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| Salyut-Belgorod Win | 58% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.72 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.00 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 32% | 2.85 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.