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League Two · Scotland
Stranraer vs Edinburgh City prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Stranraer host Edinburgh City in the League Two (Scotland) on 3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 77% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Stranraer 0–0 Edinburgh City.
Going into the match, Stranraer had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 28 and conceding 14. Edinburgh City had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Stranraer's last 10 and 5 of Edinburgh City's last 10; 8 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Stranraer averaged 1.77 goals scored and 1.23 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Edinburgh City averaged 1.31 scored and 2.00 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.00 goals from Stranraer and 1.09 from Edinburgh City. From that it rates a home win at 57%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 19%, against 48%, 25% and 27% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 83%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Stranraer (green) and Edinburgh City (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stranraer | WLWWW | 2.80 | 1.40 | 60% | 80% |
| Edinburgh City | LWWWD | 2.00 | 1.10 | 50% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 21 Jul 2026 · Stranraer 0–2 Edinburgh City
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| Stranraer Win | 48% | 1.85 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.