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Non League Premier - Southern Central · England
Stourbridge vs Racing Club Warwick prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Stourbridge host Racing Club Warwick in the Non League Premier - Southern Central (England) on 3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.60, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Stourbridge 0–1 Racing Club Warwick.
Going into the match, Stourbridge had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 15. Racing Club Warwick had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Stourbridge's last 10 and 7 of Racing Club Warwick's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Stourbridge averaged 0.89 goals scored and 2.00 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Racing Club Warwick averaged 1.57 scored and 1.57 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.40 goals from Stourbridge and 1.60 from Racing Club Warwick. From that it rates a home win at 32%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 41%, against 50%, 24% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 61%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Stourbridge (green) and Racing Club Warwick (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stourbridge | DWLDL | 1.30 | 1.50 | 70% | 50% |
| Racing Club Warwick | DLLLL | 1.40 | 1.60 | 70% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 76% | 1.21 |
| Double Chance 1X | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.60 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| Stourbridge Win | 50% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.10 |
| Stourbridge HT & FT | 34% | 2.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.