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Non League Premier - Southern Central · England
Stourbridge vs Leighton Town prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Stourbridge host Leighton Town in the Non League Premier - Southern Central (England) on 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.62, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Stourbridge 2–1 Leighton Town.
Going into the match, Stourbridge had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 16. Leighton Town had won 1, drawn 1 and lost 8 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 25 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Stourbridge's last 10 and 8 of Leighton Town's last 10; 5 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Stourbridge averaged 0.80 goals scored and 1.90 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Leighton Town averaged 0.86 scored and 2.14 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.92 goals from Stourbridge and 1.07 from Leighton Town. From that it rates a home win at 56%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 20%, against 52%, 24% and 24% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 57%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Stourbridge (green) and Leighton Town (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stourbridge | LDWLD | 1.10 | 1.60 | 70% | 50% |
| Leighton Town | LLLLL | 1.30 | 2.50 | 80% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.31 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.46 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.70 |
| Stourbridge Win | 50% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.10 |
| Stourbridge HT & FT | 34% | 2.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.