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Premier League 2 Division One · England
Stoke City U21 vs Chelsea U21 prediction and preview
16 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Stoke City U21 host Chelsea U21 in the Premier League 2 Division One (England) on 16 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Chelsea U21 Win — Chelsea U21 to win. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Stoke City U21 1–2 Chelsea U21.
Going into the match, Stoke City U21 had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 27. Chelsea U21 had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Stoke City U21's last 10 and 7 of Chelsea U21's last 10; 8 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Stoke City U21 averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.38 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Chelsea U21 averaged 1.83 scored and 1.50 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.97 goals from Stoke City U21 and 2.53 from Chelsea U21. From that it rates a home win at 12%, a draw at 18% and an away win at 70%, against 18%, 18% and 64% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 70%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Stoke City U21 (green) and Chelsea U21 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City U21 | LDLLW | 1.10 | 2.70 | 40% | 80% |
| Chelsea U21 | WWLWW | 2.00 | 1.50 | 70% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 69% | 1.33 |
| Chelsea U21 Win | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 64% | 1.40 |
| Chelsea U21 HT & FT | 52% | 1.80 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 50% | 1.86 |
| 1-2 | 9% | 10.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Stoke City U21 form and statistics
- Chelsea U21 form and statistics
- Premier League 2 Division One statistics
Other Premier League 2 Division One matches that day
- Everton U21 vs Middlesbrough U21 · 16 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Premier League 2 Division One
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.41 · FT 2–1 - Norwich City U21 vs West Ham United U21 · 16 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Premier League 2 Division One
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 4–2 - Nottingham Forest U21 vs Manchester United U21 · 16 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Premier League 2 Division One
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.40 · FT 3–2