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Premier League Cup · England
Stoke City U21 vs Charlton Athletic U21 prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Stoke City U21 host Charlton Athletic U21 in the Premier League Cup (England) on 9 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Stoke City U21 2–2 Charlton Athletic U21.
Going into the match, Stoke City U21 had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 21. Charlton Athletic U21 had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of Stoke City U21's last 10 and 6 of Charlton Athletic U21's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Stoke City U21 averaged 1.14 goals scored and 1.29 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Charlton Athletic U21 averaged 1.50 scored and 2.50 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.18 goals from Stoke City U21 and 1.63 from Charlton Athletic U21. From that it rates a home win at 27%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 47%, against 38%, 22% and 40% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 53%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Stoke City U21 (green) and Charlton Athletic U21 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City U21 | LLWLL | 0.80 | 2.10 | 20% | 60% |
| Charlton Athletic U21 | LWWDW | 1.40 | 1.50 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 69% | 1.33 |
| BTTS Yes | 67% | 1.36 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Double Chance 1X | 57% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 54% | 1.71 |
| Charlton Athletic U21 Win | 44% | 2.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.