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Non League Premier - Northern · England
Stockton Town vs United of Manchester prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Stockton Town host United of Manchester in the Non League Premier - Northern (England) on 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.54, which the bookmaker market rated at about 59% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Stockton Town 2–2 United of Manchester.
Going into the match, Stockton Town had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 22. United of Manchester had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 23 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Stockton Town's last 10 and 7 of United of Manchester's last 10; 7 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Stockton Town averaged 1.50 goals scored and 1.60 conceded across 10 matches; away from home United of Manchester averaged 1.79 scored and 1.50 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.43 goals from Stockton Town and 1.76 from United of Manchester. From that it rates a home win at 30%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 44%, against 45%, 25% and 30% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Stockton Town (green) and United of Manchester (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stockton Town | WLLWD | 1.50 | 2.20 | 70% | 70% |
| United of Manchester | LWLWW | 2.30 | 1.60 | 70% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 21 Apr 2026 · United of Manchester 1–1 Stockton Town
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 62% | 1.49 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.54 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Stockton Town Win | 44% | 2.00 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 44% | 2.15 |
| Stockton Town HT & FT | 29% | 3.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.