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Non League Premier - Northern · England
Stockton Town vs Bury prediction and preview
6 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Stockton Town host Bury in the Non League Premier - Northern (England) on 6 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Stockton Town 1–0 Bury.
Going into the match, Stockton Town had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 22. Bury had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 33 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Stockton Town's last 10 and 5 of Bury's last 10; 7 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Stockton Town averaged 1.56 goals scored and 1.78 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Bury averaged 1.29 scored and 1.00 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.96 goals from Stockton Town and 2.65 from Bury. From that it rates a home win at 11%, a draw at 17% and an away win at 73%, against 22%, 23% and 54% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 70%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Stockton Town (green) and Bury (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stockton Town | LLWDL | 1.60 | 2.20 | 70% | 70% |
| Bury | WDWWW | 3.30 | 1.10 | 50% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 74% | 1.24 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 74% | 1.23 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.59 |
| Bury Win | 54% | 1.65 |
| Bury HT & FT | 37% | 2.50 |
| 1-2 | 10% | 9.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.