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Ettan - Norra · Sweden
Stocksund vs Järfälla prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Stocksund host Järfälla in the Ettan - Norra (Sweden) on 3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Stocksund 1–1 Järfälla.
Going into the match, Stocksund had won 2, drawn 0 and lost 8 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 24. Järfälla had won 1, drawn 0 and lost 9 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 27 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Stocksund's last 10 and 5 of Järfälla's last 10; 8 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Stocksund averaged 2.00 goals scored and 2.69 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Järfälla averaged 1.36 scored and 2.09 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.13 goals from Stocksund and 2.05 from Järfälla. From that it rates a home win at 41%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 38%, against 44%, 24% and 32% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 78%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Stocksund (green) and Järfälla (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 8 Jun 2026 · Järfälla 1–6 Stocksund
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 77% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.20 |
| BTTS Yes | 69% | 1.36 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 51% | 1.80 |
| Stocksund Win | 44% | 2.05 |
| Stocksund HT & FT | 29% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 24% | 3.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.