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League One · England
Stockport County vs Barnsley prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Stockport County host Barnsley in the League One (England) on 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Stockport County Win — Stockport County to win. It was published at odds of 1.42, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Stockport County 3–1 Barnsley.
Going into the match, Stockport County had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 25 and conceding 13. Barnsley had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 24 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Stockport County's last 10 and 8 of Barnsley's last 10; 6 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Stockport County averaged 2.17 goals scored and 1.25 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Barnsley averaged 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.42 goals from Stockport County and 0.92 from Barnsley. From that it rates a home win at 70%, a draw at 19% and an away win at 12%, against 66%, 21% and 13% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 70%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Stockport County (green) and Barnsley (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stockport County | WWDLW | 2.50 | 1.30 | 50% | 60% |
| Barnsley | LLDDL | 1.70 | 2.40 | 80% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 2 May 2026 · Barnsley 1–3 Stockport County
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 77% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.28 |
| Stockport County Win | 66% | 1.42 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.57 |
| Under 11.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 47% | 1.91 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.