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Úrvalsdeild · Iceland
Stjarnan vs KA Akureyri prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Stjarnan host KA Akureyri in the Úrvalsdeild (Iceland) on 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Stjarnan to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Stjarnan 0–3 KA Akureyri.
Going into the match, Stjarnan had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 20. KA Akureyri had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 21 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Stjarnan's last 10 and 5 of KA Akureyri's last 10; 6 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Stjarnan averaged 2.07 goals scored and 1.73 conceded across 15 matches; away from home KA Akureyri averaged 1.58 scored and 2.50 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.18 goals from Stjarnan and 1.72 from KA Akureyri. From that it rates a home win at 48%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 30%, against 53%, 22% and 25% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 70%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Stjarnan (green) and KA Akureyri (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stjarnan | LWDWW | 1.80 | 2.00 | 60% | 60% |
| KA Akureyri | WLWDL | 1.60 | 2.10 | 50% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 28 Jun 2026 · Stjarnan 3–1 KA Akureyri
- 12 Apr 2026 · KA Akureyri 2–3 Stjarnan
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 73% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| Over 11.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Stjarnan Win | 52% | 1.70 |
| Stjarnan HT & FT | 36% | 2.60 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.