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League Two · Scotland
Stirling Albion vs Kelty Hearts prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Stirling Albion host Kelty Hearts in the League Two (Scotland) on 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Stirling Albion 2–1 Kelty Hearts.
Going into the match, Stirling Albion had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 24. Kelty Hearts had won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 21 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Stirling Albion's last 10 and 7 of Kelty Hearts's last 10; 6 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Stirling Albion averaged 1.55 goals scored and 1.55 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Kelty Hearts averaged 0.92 scored and 1.83 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.93 goals from Stirling Albion and 1.55 from Kelty Hearts. From that it rates a home win at 46%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 30%, against 38%, 26% and 36% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 54%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Stirling Albion (green) and Kelty Hearts (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stirling Albion | WLDDL | 1.70 | 2.40 | 70% | 60% |
| Kelty Hearts | WWLLL | 1.90 | 2.10 | 70% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 8 Aug 2026 · Kelty Hearts 3–2 Stirling Albion
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.