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League One · England
Stevenage vs Wigan prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Stevenage host Wigan in the League One (England) on 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Stevenage to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Stevenage 1–0 Wigan.
Going into the match, Stevenage had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 13. Wigan had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Stevenage's last 10 and 5 of Wigan's last 10; 7 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Stevenage averaged 1.08 goals scored and 1.42 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Wigan averaged 0.67 scored and 0.89 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.54 goals from Stevenage and 0.72 from Wigan. From that it rates a home win at 56%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 16%, against 44%, 29% and 27% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 84%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Stevenage (green) and Wigan (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 2 May 2026 · Stevenage 1–0 Wigan
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 73% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 67% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.67 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.80 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
| Stevenage Win | 44% | 2.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.