Home › League stats › EFL Trophy › Stevenage vs Leicester
EFL Trophy · England
Stevenage vs Leicester prediction and preview
6 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Stevenage host Leicester in the EFL Trophy (England) on 6 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 77% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Stevenage 2–1 Leicester.
Going into the match, Stevenage had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 13. Leicester had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Stevenage's last 10 and 6 of Leicester's last 10; 7 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Stevenage averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.45 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Leicester averaged 1.55 scored and 1.18 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.99 goals from Stevenage and 1.35 from Leicester. From that it rates a home win at 52%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 25%, against 31%, 27% and 43% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 86%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Stevenage (green) and Leicester (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.