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Eliteserien · Norway
Start vs Ham-Kam prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Start host Ham-Kam in the Eliteserien (Norway) on 11 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Start 2–4 Ham-Kam.
Going into the match, Start had won 6, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 15. Ham-Kam had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Start's last 10 and 4 of Ham-Kam's last 10; 7 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Start averaged 1.30 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Ham-Kam averaged 1.47 scored and 1.80 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.64 goals from Start and 1.67 from Ham-Kam. From that it rates a home win at 37%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 38%, against 49%, 25% and 25% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 58%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Start (green) and Ham-Kam (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 26 Apr 2026 · Ham-Kam 2–1 Start
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 1X | 74% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.