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III Liga - Group 2 · Poland
Stargard Szczeciński vs Lipno Stęszew prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Stargard Szczeciński host Lipno Stęszew in the III Liga - Group 2 (Poland) on 10 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Stargard Szczeciński 3–4 Lipno Stęszew.
Going into the match, Stargard Szczeciński had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 26 and conceding 18. Lipno Stęszew had won 1, drawn 1 and lost 8 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 22 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Stargard Szczeciński's last 10 and 8 of Lipno Stęszew's last 10; 8 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Stargard Szczeciński averaged 2.42 goals scored and 1.42 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Lipno Stęszew averaged 1.07 scored and 1.40 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.65 goals from Stargard Szczeciński and 1.22 from Lipno Stęszew. From that it rates a home win at 67%, a draw at 18% and an away win at 15%, against 64%, 19% and 17% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Stargard Szczeciński (green) and Lipno Stęszew (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stargard Szczeciński | WDDWL | 2.60 | 1.80 | 80% | 80% |
| Lipno Stęszew | LDWLL | 1.00 | 2.20 | 80% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| Stargard Szczeciński Win | 61% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 55% | 1.67 |
| Stargard Szczeciński HT & FT | 44% | 2.12 |
| 2-1 | 10% | 9.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.