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III Liga - Group 2 · Poland
Stargard Szczeciński vs Kalisz prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Stargard Szczeciński host Kalisz in the III Liga - Group 2 (Poland) on 3 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Kalisz to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.49, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Stargard Szczeciński 5–0 Kalisz.
Going into the match, Stargard Szczeciński had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 22 and conceding 19. Kalisz had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 9 of Stargard Szczeciński's last 10 and 6 of Kalisz's last 10; 7 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Stargard Szczeciński averaged 2.18 goals scored and 1.55 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Kalisz averaged 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.69 goals from Stargard Szczeciński and 1.13 from Kalisz. From that it rates a home win at 70%, a draw at 17% and an away win at 13%, against 41%, 25% and 34% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 30%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Stargard Szczeciński (green) and Kalisz (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stargard Szczeciński | DDWLW | 2.20 | 1.90 | 90% | 70% |
| Kalisz | WDDDW | 1.50 | 1.20 | 60% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 74% | 1.23 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 73% | 1.29 |
| BTTS Yes | 62% | 1.48 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 60% | 1.58 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 42% | 2.25 |
| Kalisz Win | 34% | 2.62 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.