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Derde Divisie · Netherlands
Staphorst vs TEC prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Staphorst host TEC in the Derde Divisie (Netherlands) on 3 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Staphorst to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.70, which the bookmaker market rated at about 54% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Staphorst 0–3 TEC.
Going into the match, Staphorst had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 20. TEC had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 33 scored and 20 conceded.
Both teams scored in 9 of Staphorst's last 10 and 8 of TEC's last 10; 7 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Staphorst averaged 1.75 goals scored and 2.25 conceded across 8 matches; away from home TEC averaged 2.00 scored and 1.44 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.51 goals from Staphorst and 2.30 from TEC. From that it rates a home win at 24%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 55%, against 32%, 22% and 46% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 45%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Staphorst (green) and TEC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 78% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 71% | 1.30 |
| Double Chance X2 | 69% | 1.33 |
| BTTS Yes | 67% | 1.38 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 55% | 1.74 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 35% | 2.62 |
| TEC HT & FT | 30% | 3.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.