Home › League stats › Jupiler Pro League › Standard Liege vs Charleroi
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Standard Liege vs Charleroi prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Standard Liege host Charleroi in the Jupiler Pro League (Belgium) on 11 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.67, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Standard Liege 0–1 Charleroi.
Going into the match, Standard Liege had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 17. Charleroi had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Standard Liege's last 10 and 7 of Charleroi's last 10; 7 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Standard Liege averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.17 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Charleroi averaged 1.56 scored and 0.78 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.21 goals from Standard Liege and 1.17 from Charleroi. From that it rates a home win at 36%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 34%, against 31%, 28% and 41% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 50%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Standard Liege (green) and Charleroi (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard Liege | LLWWW | 1.50 | 1.70 | 60% | 70% |
| Charleroi | WWLWW | 2.10 | 1.30 | 70% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 23 May 2026 · Standard Liege 0–2 Charleroi
- 18 Apr 2026 · Charleroi 1–2 Standard Liege
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 76% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.