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I Liga · Poland
Stal Rzeszów vs Lechia Gdansk prediction and preview
12 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Stal Rzeszów host Lechia Gdansk in the I Liga (Poland) on 12 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Stal Rzeszów 1–2 Lechia Gdansk.
Going into the match, Stal Rzeszów had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 11. Lechia Gdansk had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 22 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Stal Rzeszów's last 10 and 7 of Lechia Gdansk's last 10; 4 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Stal Rzeszów averaged 1.56 goals scored and 2.22 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Lechia Gdansk averaged 1.60 scored and 1.90 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.96 goals from Stal Rzeszów and 1.95 from Lechia Gdansk. From that it rates a home win at 39%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 39%, against 33%, 27% and 40% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 75%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Stal Rzeszów (green) and Lechia Gdansk (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stal Rzeszów | DWWWW | 1.30 | 1.10 | 50% | 40% |
| Lechia Gdansk | WWWLW | 2.20 | 1.40 | 70% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.28 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 64% | 1.44 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.