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Challenge League · Switzerland
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Neuchatel Xamax FC prediction and preview
23 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy host Neuchatel Xamax FC in the Challenge League (Switzerland) on 23 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Stade Lausanne-Ouchy had won 7, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, scoring 22 and conceding 4. Neuchatel Xamax FC had won 3, drawn 0 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 21 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Stade Lausanne-Ouchy's last 10 and 7 of Neuchatel Xamax FC's last 10; 6 and 10 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Stade Lausanne-Ouchy averaged 2.50 goals scored and 0.83 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Neuchatel Xamax FC averaged 1.53 scored and 2.00 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.70 goals from Stade Lausanne-Ouchy and 0.73 from Neuchatel Xamax FC. From that it rates a home win at 78%, a draw at 15% and an away win at 7%, against 57%, 22% and 20% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 67%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Stade Lausanne-Ouchy (green) and Neuchatel Xamax FC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | WWDWD | 2.20 | 0.40 | 30% | 60% |
| Neuchatel Xamax FC | WWLLL | 1.40 | 2.10 | 70% | 100% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 21 Aug 2026 · Neuchatel Xamax FC 1–2 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
- 15 May 2026 · Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 2–1 Neuchatel Xamax FC
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 78% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.57 |
| Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Win | 58% | 1.60 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Stade Lausanne-Ouchy form and statistics
- Neuchatel Xamax FC form and statistics
- Challenge League statistics
Other Challenge League matches that day
- FC Winterthur vs Stade Nyonnais · 23 Oct 2026, 18:15 UTC · Challenge League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.83 - FC WIL 1900 vs Rapperswil · 23 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC · Challenge League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.40