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Schweizer Cup · Switzerland
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Étoile Carouge prediction and preview
16 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy host Étoile Carouge in the Schweizer Cup (Switzerland) on 16 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 3–0 Étoile Carouge.
Going into the match, Stade Lausanne-Ouchy had won 7, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, scoring 27 and conceding 5. Étoile Carouge had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 7 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Stade Lausanne-Ouchy's last 10 and 4 of Étoile Carouge's last 10; 6 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Stade Lausanne-Ouchy averaged 2.45 goals scored and 0.91 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Étoile Carouge averaged 1.00 scored and 2.50 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.60 goals from Stade Lausanne-Ouchy and 0.91 from Étoile Carouge. From that it rates a home win at 52%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 20%, against 57%, 22% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 76%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Stade Lausanne-Ouchy (green) and Étoile Carouge (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | WDWDW | 2.70 | 0.50 | 40% | 60% |
| Étoile Carouge | LLLDL | 0.70 | 1.40 | 40% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 1 Sep 2026 · Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 3–0 Étoile Carouge
- 10 Apr 2026 · Étoile Carouge 1–1 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 79% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 74% | 1.25 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Win | 58% | 1.57 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.62 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Schweizer Cup matches that day
- Stade Nyonnais vs FC Basel 1893 · 16 Oct 2026, 18:15 UTC · Schweizer Cup
Published pick: BTTS No @ 1.53 · FT 0–3 - Rapperswil vs FC ST. Gallen · 16 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Schweizer Cup
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.67 · FT 0–2 - Rotkreuz vs Servette FC · 16 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Schweizer Cup
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals · FT 0–4