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Ligue 1 · France
Stade Brestois 29 vs Nice prediction and preview
23 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Stade Brestois 29 host Nice in the Ligue 1 (France) on 23 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Stade Brestois 29 had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 16. Nice had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 6 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Stade Brestois 29's last 10 and 4 of Nice's last 10; 7 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Stade Brestois 29 averaged 1.91 goals scored and 1.91 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Nice averaged 0.69 scored and 1.08 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.96 goals from Stade Brestois 29 and 1.19 from Nice. From that it rates a home win at 28%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 40%, against 43%, 27% and 30% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 83%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Stade Brestois 29 (green) and Nice (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stade Brestois 29 | DWDLL | 1.70 | 1.60 | 80% | 70% |
| Nice | LWWLD | 0.60 | 1.10 | 40% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.