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Friendlies Clubs · International
Stade Brestois 29 vs Monza prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Stade Brestois 29 host Monza in the Friendlies Clubs (International) on 3 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Monza to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.62, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Stade Brestois 29 2–2 Monza.
Going into the match, Stade Brestois 29 had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 18. Monza had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 21 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Stade Brestois 29's last 10 and 8 of Monza's last 10; 7 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Stade Brestois 29 averaged 1.56 goals scored and 2.00 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Monza averaged 1.78 scored and 1.44 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.99 goals from Stade Brestois 29 and 2.15 from Monza. From that it rates a home win at 36%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 42%, against 44%, 26% and 31% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Stade Brestois 29 (green) and Monza (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stade Brestois 29 | LLWDD | 1.40 | 1.80 | 70% | 70% |
| Monza | LWLDW | 1.80 | 2.10 | 80% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.22 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.51 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.65 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 43% | 2.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.