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Ligue 1 · France
Stade Brestois 29 vs Angers prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Stade Brestois 29 host Angers in the Ligue 1 (France) on 10 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Stade Brestois 29 5–1 Angers.
Going into the match, Stade Brestois 29 had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 18. Angers had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Stade Brestois 29's last 10 and 7 of Angers's last 10; 8 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Stade Brestois 29 averaged 1.60 goals scored and 2.00 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Angers averaged 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.94 goals from Stade Brestois 29 and 1.48 from Angers. From that it rates a home win at 48%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 29%, against 48%, 27% and 25% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 55%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Stade Brestois 29 (green) and Angers (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stade Brestois 29 | DLLWD | 1.60 | 1.80 | 80% | 80% |
| Angers | WDLWL | 1.80 | 1.30 | 70% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 17 May 2026 · Stade Brestois 29 1–1 Angers
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 76% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 1X | 74% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.80 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.