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1. Division · Norway
Stabaek vs Sandnes ULF prediction and preview
14 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Stabaek host Sandnes ULF in the 1. Division (Norway) on 14 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Stabaek Win — Stabaek to win. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Stabaek 4–1 Sandnes ULF.
Going into the match, Stabaek had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 15. Sandnes ULF had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Stabaek's last 10 and 7 of Sandnes ULF's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Stabaek averaged 2.92 goals scored and 1.33 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Sandnes ULF averaged 1.54 scored and 1.92 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.50 goals from Stabaek and 0.88 from Sandnes ULF. From that it rates a home win at 72%, a draw at 18% and an away win at 11%, against 66%, 19% and 15% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 72%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Stabaek (green) and Sandnes ULF (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stabaek | DLWDL | 1.80 | 1.50 | 60% | 60% |
| Sandnes ULF | DDLWL | 1.50 | 1.70 | 70% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 10 May 2026 · Sandnes ULF 0–1 Stabaek
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 71% | 1.33 |
| Stabaek Win | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 65% | 1.44 |
| Under 11.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 50% | 1.83 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 50% | 1.83 |
| Stabaek HT & FT | 48% | 2.00 |
| 2-1 | 11% | 9.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.