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Frauenliga · Austria
St. Pölten W vs Sturm Graz W prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
St. Pölten W host Sturm Graz W in the Frauenliga (Austria) on 4 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is St. Pölten W Win — St. Pölten W to win. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 74% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: St. Pölten W 2–2 Sturm Graz W.
Going into the match, St. Pölten W had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 25 and conceding 11. Sturm Graz W had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of St. Pölten W's last 10 and 5 of Sturm Graz W's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home St. Pölten W averaged 2.45 goals scored and 0.82 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Sturm Graz W averaged 1.88 scored and 1.88 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.26 goals from St. Pölten W and 1.28 from Sturm Graz W. From that it rates a home win at 59%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 20%, against 74%, 16% and 10% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 59%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between St. Pölten W (green) and Sturm Graz W (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Pölten W | LWLWW | 2.50 | 1.10 | 30% | 60% |
| Sturm Graz W | LLLWW | 2.00 | 1.60 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 22 May 2026 · Sturm Graz W 2–3 St. Pölten W
- 1 May 2026 · St. Pölten W 2–0 Sturm Graz W
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 77% | 1.24 |
| St. Pölten W Win | 74% | 1.22 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.70 |
| St. Pölten W 1st Half Win | 56% | 1.62 |
| St. Pölten W HT & FT | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 35% | 2.62 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.