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Regionalliga - Nord · Germany
St. Pauli II vs HSC Hannover prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
St. Pauli II host HSC Hannover in the Regionalliga - Nord (Germany) on 11 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: St. Pauli II 3–4 HSC Hannover.
Going into the match, St. Pauli II had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 15. HSC Hannover had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 20 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of St. Pauli II's last 10 and 5 of HSC Hannover's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home St. Pauli II averaged 1.78 goals scored and 1.56 conceded across 9 matches; away from home HSC Hannover averaged 1.83 scored and 1.83 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.01 goals from St. Pauli II and 1.93 from HSC Hannover. From that it rates a home win at 40%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 37%, against 52%, 23% and 25% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 75%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between St. Pauli II (green) and HSC Hannover (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Pauli II | LLWWL | 1.60 | 1.50 | 40% | 60% |
| HSC Hannover | WLLDD | 1.30 | 2.00 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 70% | 1.32 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 68% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 67% | 1.39 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| St. Pauli II Win | 52% | 1.76 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 51% | 1.77 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 49% | 2.00 |
| Double Chance X2 | 48% | 1.88 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.