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CONCACAF Nations League · International
St. Lucia vs Guadeloupe prediction and preview
2 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
St. Lucia host Guadeloupe in the CONCACAF Nations League (International) on 2 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Guadeloupe to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: St. Lucia 3–0 Guadeloupe.
Going into the match, St. Lucia had won 1, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 2 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 4. Guadeloupe had won 1, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 2, with 4 scored and 3 conceded.
Both teams scored in 1 of St. Lucia's last 2 and 2 of Guadeloupe's last 2; 1 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home St. Lucia averaged 5.00 goals scored and 2.00 conceded across 1 matches; away from home Guadeloupe averaged 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded across 1.
The 1X2 prices imply about 35% for St. Lucia, 24% for the draw and 42% for Guadeloupe once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between St. Lucia (green) and Guadeloupe (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Lucia | WL | 2.50 | 2.00 | 50% | 50% |
| Guadeloupe | DW | 2.00 | 1.50 | 100% | 100% |
Averages over each side's last 2 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 77% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 63% | 1.50 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Under 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.